So now that the All-Star Break is gearing up, that means that NBA teams get a much-needed break from the rigors of their schedule. With that said, I figure it's a good time to make some predictions of what I think might be seen in the second half of the season.
Team to Look Out For - San Antonio Spurs
I know this doesn't seem like a team that will sneak up on people, but hear me out. The Pistons have taken much of the spotlight this year, while the Spurs have quietly put together the league's second best record while playing through injuries to all-stars Manu Ginobli and Tim Duncan. Five of the past six seasons, the Spurs have had the best record after the All-Star Break, and there are a number of reasons that contribute to this. First, the coaching is the best you can get. Greg Popovich continues to be an underrated coach every year. How this happens, I have no friggin idea. Second, Duncan and Ginobli will have had a chance to get healthy and get into prime condition for the playoffs. With those two playing at anything above 90 percent, the team will be scary. Third, they are a veteran squad with a veteran bench. Players like Mike Finley, Nick Van Exel and Brent Barry will find their role more in the second half of the season, solidifying their bench. Put all those things together and I see the Spurs with the best record in the NBA and home court advantage throughout the playoffs.
Player to Look Out For (Western Conference) - Manu Ginobli
I already included him in my reasons why the Spurs are the team to look out for and I get to explain why here. People have forgotten that Ginobli was the most unstoppable player in the playoffs last year. He was like MacGyver without the MasterCard, he always had some crazy answer to a bleak situation. If he were double-teamed he would do crazy around the bag back bending types of moves. If he was driving to the basket on a seven-foot center, he would simply flip over them. Dude bends his body in crazier ways than the Kama Sutra. Unfortunately, injuries have completely taken away his freakish ability to do that craziness he does so well. I am thinking 21 points, 4 assists and five rebounds to go along with an average of 2 insane lay-ups a week.
Player to Look Out For (Eastern Conference) - Dwight Howard
I know he is already playing great ball for a kid who is only 20, but I think he is going to explode the second half of the season. Remember how unreal Amare Stoudemire was at the offensive end last year? Well that is what Dwight Howard is on the boards and defensive end. I really would not be surprised in the least if Howard averages 14 rebounds the second half of the season, with 17 points and 3 blocks to boot. The sky is the limit for this kid and he is going to reach for it. It's funny; I remember the 2004 NBA draft where people didn't like the Magic taking Howard over Emeka Okafur. It's light and day now who the better choice was in my opinion. I am excited to see what Howard is going to do over the next 10 seasons. In fact, I am going to send a letter to Bryan Colangelo right now telling him to do everything he can to make Dwight Howard and Amare Stoudemire the frontcourt of the future...I am getting too excited over something that won't happen, so I am going to move on to the next segment.
Team that Will Surprise in the Playoffs - Milwaukee Bucks
I like what they have. A great scorer and team leader in Michael Redd, and a very good supporting cast around him. There's the clutch shooter in Maurice Williams, Bobby Simmons who is a solid scorer (he got off to a slow start, but I expect him to come on strong), a solid rookie center with Andrew Bogut and not to be forgotten, the RC racer toy, TJ Ford. Seriously, he is an RC racecar, think of when you drive one of those in the street. It's this small car zooming around and when a bigger car drives by, it just looks funny. That's how TJ Ford looks, a small basketball player zooming around a court of giants. If they get a match up with the Cavaliers in the first round, then I have no problem putting money on the Bucks to take that series...Which brings me to the next category.
Team Most Likely to Disappoint - Cleveland Cavaliers
I guess it's no coincidence that they are the team to disappoint since I have a team like the Bucks beating them. I'm just not a big fan of the team. Lebron isn't clutch...yet. Ilgauskas is a solid big man who seems to run out of gas at the end of each season, which hasn't included the playoffs. Larry Hughes has been a disappointment this year despite solid stats and he might not even be back until the playoffs because of finger surgery. I don't think a skill player like him will have time to get his rhythm back to make an impact. Their two big "shooters," Donyell Marshall and Damon Jones, don't strike me as playoff style players...Damon Jones folded easier than Gary Coleman in the Jack in the Box commercial last year in the playoffs. Simply put, this team makes for a nice little regular season record, but come playoff time, I really don't like what they have.
Side Note - I know it seems like the last two blogs I have given Lebron a lot of criticism and I just wanted to say that I am a big fan of the guy. He is great for the game, he has a great personality, he is an amazing talent and he has an awesome Nike commercial. I just don't think he is ready to be the "next Michael Jordan". I guess I just expect more of Lebron, although I guess it isn't fair that I do.
Isiah Thomas Move Most Likely to Happen
There are so many possibilities here, so it took awhile to think of this one, but here it goes. Isiah Thomas gets Mark Cuban to take Stephon Marbury, Malik Rose and Jamal Crawford all off the books for Dirk Nowitzki and Josh Howard. Cuban decides he also likes the way the Knick's towel boy gets the job done and decides he wants him also. Thomas labels the towel boy an "untouchable" asset and will not part with him. At which point he signs the towel boy to a five year 25 million dollar contract with a player option for a sixth year at four million. After not being able to pull off the big trade, Thomas calls up the Magic and offers Channing Frye and Trever Ariza for Steve Francis. Seem Outlandish to you? Look at the Isiah Thomas era the past five years; you will need to sit down after that because the astonishment almost knocks you on your ass.
Team Most Likely to Win it All - San Antonio Spurs
I guess it's San Antonio Spurs fan Week. Truth is, I have been picking them the past half decade. I love the way the program is run. They have great leaders, a great supporting cast and incredible coaching. But they also have one more thing that makes them great...Robert Horry. Big Shot Bob is the greatest role player of all time. He has been on 7 championship teams and has always had a big part in those victories. With that said, I am going with the Spurs in 6 over the Detroit Pistons this year.
Suggestions
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Many of my stats are researched at ESPN and 82games.com. Both of these web sites are an excellent source of basketball information. I mention this because these sites do such an excellent job, that I want them to get as many visitors as possible.